Chase Headley to the Tigers Has to Happen

During the off-season the Detroit Tigers and went out and signed all-star first baseman Prince Fielder. Everyone pegged the Detroit Tigers as the team to represent the American League in the World Series, but as we head into the All-Star break that doesn’t look like it will happen. The Tigers’ hopes aren’t over though. I believe if they make at least one critical move it could help them get right back into the mix. I believe that move has to be acquiring San Diego Padres third baseman Chase Headley. Headley is one of the more underrated players in baseball and is easily one of the biggest snubs as we head into the all-star break. He currently has 3.3 WAR and is a player that can easily make a team better. More after the jump. Continue reading

Taking a look at Trevor Bauer and Andrew Cashner’s Starts

Yesterday highly touted prospect Trevor Bauer made his major league debut. He was the number three pick in last year’s draft and has been flying through the Arizona Diamondback’s farm system ever since. He wasn’t the only pitcher joining a rotation though. San Diego Padres pitcher Andrew Cashner also got the call to the majors yet nobody paid any attention to him. Dave Cameron took a look at both pitchers in this article yesterday. I was curious to see how both fared so let’s take a look.

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Cory Luebke, Padres Agree to Extension

Credit: Associated Press

Joining Padres teammates Cameron Maybin and Nick Hundley in the early extension category, breakout lefty Cory Luebke signed through 2015 with two club options at the end, which would take him through his first year of scheduled free agency.  After starting 2011 in a long relief role, Luebke had a good showing as a starter in the second half, leaving him as the probable #2 starter this season.  His ERA was good at 3.29, but his 2.93 FIP and 2.89 SIERA show signs of elite performance possible. Continue reading

2012 Outlook: San Diego Padres

After their surprising 90-win season in 2010, the San Diego Padres fell back to earth, finishing at 71-91.  The trade of Adrian Gonzalez had a major effect on the team, but the pitching lost just as much ground as the offense.  Now, their two best pitchers are gone, leaving more holes in the roster.  The budget is tight, but there are a couple pieces to build around. Continue reading

Huston Street on the Move

The Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres agreed to a trade that will send closer Huston Street to the San Diego Padres. For the most part I like the deal. The one downside in the deal is Street’s salary. This upcoming season he’s due to make $7.5 million, the Rockies will pay $1 million of that. In 2013 he’s set to make $9 million dollars but there’s a $500k buyout.

Since Street came up in 2005 he’s totaled 10 WAR, averaging 1.67 WAR per season. His ERA-/FIP-/xFIP- since he’s come up is 71/72/80.  This past season he should have been better then his ERA- and FIP- suggest. This year they were 92/91 but his xFIP- was 81 so he should expect a bounce back year. The statistic SIERA (situational ERA) likes him even better, it was 2.94. Much of this can be contributed to him pitching at Coors which is known to hurt pitchers. One indication of this is if you look at the spike in his HR/9 since he came to Coors. Previously he gave up .9/9 in 2007 when he was still with the A’s. This past season he gave up 1.54 HR/9, his highest of his career.

For his career he’s always had an above average strikeout percentage as well as an above average walk percentage. I see no reason why that should change next year at PETCO.

Contract wise Street shouldn’t have a problem giving the Padres a return on their investment. He’s due to make $7.5 million this season so he needs to get roughly 1.75 WAR, something he shouldn’t have a problem doing. In 2013 he’s due to make $9 million meaning he’d have to get 2 WAR, again something he should be able to achieve especially since he’s going to PETCO. If he isn’t that good the Padres can always cut him.

Finally, he is already joining a solid bullpen. With Heath Bell and Mike Adams gone, the three other relievers who pitched at least 40 innings last year averaged a 3.53 FIP, which is very solid. With Street coming it should be even better. If he isn’t what the Padres imagined they can also trade him at the deadline before or during the end of July.