Lincecum Avoids Arbitration for Good

Tim Lincecum and the Giants have agreed to a 2 year, $40.5M deal to avoid arbitration.  Lincecum is set to make $18M this year and $22M in 2013, plus a $500K signing bonus.  Lincecum had put a $21.5M figure in for arbitration, and the team put in $17M, so the Giants get a bit of a deal for this year and likely next year.  The past 2 years, Lincecum has been a 4-5 win pitcher, after a couple 6-8 win seasons in ’08 and ’09.  If he continues to pitch at the same level, this is essentially a market-level deal.

However, his underlying skills have been diminishing the past 2 years.  His K has dropped from 28.8% to 24.4%, BB rate has risen from 7.5% to 9.6%, and his first-pitch strike percentage has dropped from 56.7% to 53.7%, while the league average has risen 1.2%.  His Zone% has decreased 4% in the PITCHf/x stats, where league average has remained steady.

Lincecum has expressed his desire to have short-term contracts, so this wasn’t too unexpected.  Once he hits free agency, he will most likely get a Sabathia-type deal, 7+ years and $160M+.  Every other big name starting pitcher set for the 2014 free agent class has had major injury issues, so Lincecum’s demand could be very high.

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2 Responses

  1. Which pitchers are destined for Free Agency in 2014 with Timmy?

  2. Adam Wainwright and Josh Johnson are the 2 top-level pitchers with injury issues. Dan Haren is the best pitcher available who has stayed healthy. Other pitchers include Carpenter, Tim Hudson, Jurrjens, Garza, and Ervin Santana.

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